Tennis · WTA Palermo · 26/07, 20:30

Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Fiona Ferro

Team pages: Francesca Jones · Fiona Ferro

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Francesca Jones Fiona Ferro
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWWWLW
Fiona Ferro 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWWW
Head-to-head
Francesca Jones 0–1 Fiona Ferro (1 last)
  • 23 Nov0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1619 · Fiona Ferro 1527
Francesca JonesFiona Ferro
Our model63%37%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Jones (rating 1619 vs 1527).
  • Francesca Jones is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Francesca Jones 0–1 Fiona Ferro (1).

Statistics

Francesca JonesFiona Ferro
Win %90%50%
Win % · Clay 90% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.61.3-1.1
Games (G-P)13.2-7.611.8-9.8
Aces1.30.6
Double faults3.31
1st serve %66.6%60.9%
Break %60.8%45%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

H2H · Francesca Jones 01 Fiona Ferro (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Jones 01 Fiona Ferro

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/11/17
ITF Women Hammamet
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francesca Jones

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/07 Jennifer Ruggeri
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
23/07 Miriam Bulgaru
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
21/07 Darya Astakhova
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/07 Martina Trevisan
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 14-8 W
17/07 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Rome · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Federica Urgesi
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
13/07 Dalila Spiteri
WTA Rome · Clay
2-1 13-7 W
09/07 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
1-2 15-14 L

Fiona Ferro

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
24/07 Mina Hodzic
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
22/07 Erika Andreeva
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
20/07 Yufei Ren
WTA Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Aurora Zantedeschi
WTA Rome · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
23/06 Greet Minnen
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
17/06 Ekaterine Gorgodze
WTA Brescia · Clay
1-2 16-15 L
16/06 Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
24/05 Mirra Andreeva
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/05 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Rabat · Clay
1-2 15-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Fiona Ferro?

Our model gives 56% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.