Tennis · WTA Palermo · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Jennifer Ruggeri
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Jones
Jennifer Ruggeri
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Jennifer Ruggeri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1608 · Jennifer Ruggeri 1532
| Francesca Jones | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Jones (rating 1608 vs 1532).
- Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 89% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.7 | 12.5-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Darya Astakhova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alice Rame WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Diane Parry Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Jennifer Ruggeri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Amarissa Kiara Toth WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Tatiana Pieri WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Kayla Day W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Jennifer Ruggeri?
Our model gives 70% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.