Tennis · WTA Palermo · 24/07, 19:00
Prediction: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burel
Prediction summary
Winner
Alevtina Ibragimova
Clara Burel
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alevtina Ibragimova
7-3 (W-L)
Clara Burel
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alevtina Ibragimova
0–1
Clara Burel
(1 last)
- 12 Jun0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alevtina Ibragimova 1587 · Clara Burel 1544
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alevtina Ibragimova (rating 1587 vs 1544).
- Head-to-head: Alevtina Ibragimova 0–1 Clara Burel (1).
Statistics
| Alevtina Ibragimova | Clara Burel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.4 | 12.7-9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Alevtina Ibragimova 0 – 1 Clara Burel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alevtina Ibragimova 0–1 Clara Burel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 W35 Nice | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alevtina Ibragimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Alice Rame WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Amandine Hesse W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Clara Burel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Anastasia Abbagnato WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Despina Papamichail W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Jana Otzipka W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burel?
Our model gives 54% to Clara Burel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.