Tennis · WTA Palermo · 24/07, 20:30
Prediction: Fiona Ferro vs Mina Hodzic
Prediction summary
Winner
Fiona Ferro
Mina Hodzic
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Fiona Ferro
5-5 (W-L)
Mina Hodzic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fiona Ferro 1517 · Mina Hodzic 1561
| Fiona Ferro | Mina Hodzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mina Hodzic (rating 1517 vs 1561).
Statistics
| Fiona Ferro | Mina Hodzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.6 | 13.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiona Ferro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Yufei Ren WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Greet Minnen Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/05 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Danka Kovinic WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/05 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Mina Hodzic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Caroline Werner WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Emily Webley-Smith WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Hao-Ching Chan WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Lidia Encheva W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiona Ferro vs Mina Hodzic?
Our model gives 62% to Fiona Ferro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.