Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 26/07, 14:00
Prediction: Yannic Nittmann vs Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannic Nittmann
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yannic Nittmann
4-6 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannic Nittmann 1502 · Valerio Aboian 1495
| Yannic Nittmann | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yannic Nittmann | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.8 | 10.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannic Nittmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sven Corbinais M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Michael Agwi M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Stijn Hofman M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Andrin Casanova M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Timeo Puech M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Sydney Zick M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 02/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Facundo Mena Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/05 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/05 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannic Nittmann vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 68% to Valerio Aboian, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.