Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Giuseppe La Vela
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Giuseppe La Vela
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
5-5 (W-L)
Giuseppe La Vela
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1472 · Giuseppe La Vela 1499
| Sergey Fomin | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sergey Fomin makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.4 | 10.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 38.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Alberto Lim Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Bill Chan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Mircea-Alexandru Jecan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Giuseppe La Vela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Simone Massellani M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Filippo Busciola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Calvin Mueller M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Giuseppe La Vela?
Our model gives 57% to Sergey Fomin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.