Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 26/07, 15:30
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Louis Wessels
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Louis Wessels
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
8-2 (W-L)
Louis Wessels
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
0–1
Louis Wessels
(1 last)
- 07 Jun1-2 17-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1589 · Louis Wessels 1548
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Louis Wessels | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1589 vs 1548).
- Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0–1 Louis Wessels (1).
- Note: Louis Wessels makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Louis Wessels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-10.3 | 10.7-7.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0 – 1 Louis Wessels (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 0–1 Louis Wessels
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/22 Challenger Bratislava | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Louis Wessels
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Dax Donders Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Stijn Paardekooper Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Pietro Marino M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Louis Wessels?
Our model gives 71% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.