Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 26/07, 15:30

Prediction: Adrian Oetzbach vs Mika Petkovic

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Adrian Oetzbach Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Oetzbach 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWWWL
Mika Petkovic 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Adrian Oetzbach 0–1 Mika Petkovic (1 last)
  • 18 Jul0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adrian Oetzbach 1602 · Mika Petkovic 1563
Adrian OetzbachMika Petkovic
Our model56%44%
Market29%71%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Adrian Oetzbach 0–1 Mika Petkovic (1).

Statistics

Adrian OetzbachMika Petkovic
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.5-0.6
Games (G-P)11.6-9.911.7-8.8
Aces3.51.9
Double faults1.62.1
1st serve %71.2%63.3%
Break %43.6%62.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

H2H · Adrian Oetzbach 01 Mika Petkovic (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrian Oetzbach 01 Mika Petkovic

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DateSetsGamesRes.
18/07/24
M15 Uslar
0-26-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adrian Oetzbach

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Raphael Perot
M25 Metzingen
0-2 6-12 L
24/07 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Metzingen
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Jack Loge
M25 Metzingen
2-0 14-12 W
22/07 Pieter De Lange
M25 Metzingen
2-0 12-8 W
19/07 Oleksii Krutykh
M15 Uslar
2-0 13-9 W
18/07 Vincent Marysko
M15 Uslar
2-1 15-14 W
17/07 Yannic Nittmann
M15 Uslar
2-0 13-10 W
16/07 Jonas Kucera
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Christopher Thies
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-6 W
11/07 Matthew William Donald
M25 Kassel
0-2 6-12 L

Mika Petkovic

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Henri Squire
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/07 Giorgio Tabacco
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
19/07 Felix Alopaeus
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/07 Sander Jong
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
12/07 Manvydas Balciunas
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
07/07 Timofey Skatov
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Jannik Opitz
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
05/07 Laurenz Blickwede
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adrian Oetzbach vs Mika Petkovic?

Our model gives 59% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.