Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 26/07, 14:00
Prediction: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michiel de Krom
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan
Michiel de Krom
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Elahi Galan
5-5 (W-L)
Michiel de Krom
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Elahi Galan 1514 · Michiel de Krom 1514
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Michiel de Krom | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Michiel de Krom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.2 | 11.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 28.5% | 60.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 11/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Michiel de Krom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Denia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Niklas Schell Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Elahi Galan vs Michiel de Krom?
Our model gives 68% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.