Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 26/07, 14:00
Prediction: Amit Vales vs Johan Nikles
Prediction summary
Winner
Amit Vales
Johan Nikles
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Amit Vales
5-5 (W-L)
Johan Nikles
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amit Vales 1489 · Johan Nikles 1525
| Amit Vales | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Amit Vales | Johan Nikles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.5 | 11.6-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 46% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amit Vales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Andrin Casanova Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Marcus Walters Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Michael Zhu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | John Sperle Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 03/06 | Jean Baptiste Badon M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Niels Ratiu M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 26/06 | Karim Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amit Vales vs Johan Nikles?
Our model gives 64% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.