Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 26/07, 11:00
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Dusan Obradovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Marti Pujolras
Dusan Obradovic
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Marti Pujolras
3-7 (W-L)
Dusan Obradovic
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Marti Pujolras
0–2
Dusan Obradovic
(2 last)
- 17 Jan0-1 12-13L
- 06 Jan0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1440 · Dusan Obradovic 1568
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Dusan Obradovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Obradovic (rating 1440 vs 1568).
- Dusan Obradovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alex Marti Pujolras 0–2 Dusan Obradovic (2).
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Dusan Obradovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.3 | 10.2-8.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 7.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 63.3% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Alex Marti Pujolras 0 – 2 Dusan Obradovic (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Marti Pujolras 0–2 Dusan Obradovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 M25 Antalya | 0-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/01/26 M25 Antalya | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Abel Forger Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Samir Hamza Reguig Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Vijay Sundar Prashanth Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/06 | David Fix Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Dusan Obradovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Jovan Bjelobrk M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Aaron Gil Garcia M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Milos Mikovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | George Lazarov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 31/05 | Marek Gengel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Dusan Obradovic?
Our model gives 51% to Dusan Obradovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.