Tennis · M25 Denia · 26/07, 18:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Pedro Rodenas
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Pedro Rodenas
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Pedro Rodenas
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
9-1 (W-L)
Pedro Rodenas
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavel Lagutin
0–1
Pedro Rodenas
(1 last)
- 27 Nov0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1548 · Pedro Rodenas 1557
| Pavel Lagutin | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pavel Lagutin 0–1 Pedro Rodenas (1).
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7 | 12.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 65.3% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Pavel Lagutin 0 – 1 Pedro Rodenas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavel Lagutin 0–1 Pedro Rodenas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/25 ITF M15 Madrid | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Pedro Rodenas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Julien Dando M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ludovico Vaccari M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Pedro Rodenas?
Our model gives 51% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.