Prediction: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Pavel Lagutin
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Pavel Lagutin
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Lopez Montagud
4-6 (W-L)
Pavel Lagutin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1492 · Pavel Lagutin 1540
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | Pavel Lagutin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1492 vs 1540).
Statistics
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | Pavel Lagutin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.7 | 10.1-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 62.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Lopez Montagud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Hernan Casanova M25 Denia |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Carles Cordoba M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Denia |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Vito Antonio Darderi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 29/04 | Oscar Pinto Sansano M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/02 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Denia |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pietro Marino M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Pavel Lagutin?
Our model gives 53% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.