Prediction: Hernan Casanova vs Carlos Lopez Montagud
Prediction summary
Winner
Hernan Casanova
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Hernan Casanova
9-1 (W-L)
Carlos Lopez Montagud
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hernan Casanova
1–0
Carlos Lopez Montagud
(1 last)
- 31 Jan2-1 15-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1570 · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1478
| Hernan Casanova | Carlos Lopez Montagud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hernan Casanova (rating 1570 vs 1478).
- Hernan Casanova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Hernan Casanova 1–0 Carlos Lopez Montagud (1).
Statistics
| Hernan Casanova | Carlos Lopez Montagud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.7 | 10.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Hernan Casanova 1 – 0 Carlos Lopez Montagud (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hernan Casanova 1–0 Carlos Lopez Montagud
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/19 ITF M15 Palmanova | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hernan Casanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Carlos Lopez Montagud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Carles Cordoba M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Denia |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Vito Antonio Darderi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 29/04 | Oscar Pinto Sansano M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/02 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 05/02 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Javea |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hernan Casanova vs Carlos Lopez Montagud?
Our model gives 67% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.