Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Lorenzo Angelini
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Lorenzo Angelini
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
8-2 (W-L)
Lorenzo Angelini
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1536 · Lorenzo Angelini 1566
| Pavel Lagutin | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-7.7 | 11-6.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 67.8% | 62.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Denia |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Xavier Ferrer Mateo M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pietro Marino M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Andrej Martin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 03/07 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Best M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 52% to Lorenzo Angelini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.