Tennis · ATP Washington · 26/07, 18:00
Prediction: Andres Martin vs Moez Echargui
Prediction summary
Winner
Andres Martin
Moez Echargui
Estimated games
25.4Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andres Martin
6-4 (W-L)
Moez Echargui
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andres Martin 1539 · Moez Echargui 1453
| Andres Martin | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andres Martin (rating 1539 vs 1453).
- Moez Echargui dominates on serve: 8.8 aces and 43.2% break avg.
- Andres Martin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andres Martin | Moez Echargui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-12.9 | 13-14.5 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +1.9
Over 23.5: 63% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 37% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Jordan Lee ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Edas Butvilas Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Remy Bertola Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Bernard Tomic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andres Martin vs Moez Echargui?
Our model gives 60% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.