Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 26/07, 11:30
Prediction: Jozef Kovalik vs Gabriele Piraino
Prediction summary
Winner
Jozef Kovalik
Gabriele Piraino
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jozef Kovalik
4-6 (W-L)
Gabriele Piraino
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jozef Kovalik 1477 · Gabriele Piraino 1554
| Jozef Kovalik | Gabriele Piraino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Piraino (rating 1477 vs 1554).
- Gabriele Piraino is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Gabriele Piraino makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Jozef Kovalik | Gabriele Piraino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.7 | 12.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jozef Kovalik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Piotr Galus M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 26/05 | Andrej Martin Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Federico Bondioli M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Ondrej Horak Czechia Extraliga |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Bad Waltersdorf · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Bad Waltersdorf · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Bad Waltersdorf · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Gabriele Piraino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Toby Martin M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Lorenzo Lorusso M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jozef Kovalik vs Gabriele Piraino?
Our model gives 51% to Gabriele Piraino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.