Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 26/07, 10:00
Prediction: Maxime Janvier vs Lorenzo Angelini
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Janvier
Lorenzo Angelini
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Janvier
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Angelini
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Janvier 1448 · Lorenzo Angelini 1563
| Maxime Janvier | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Angelini (rating 1448 vs 1563).
- Lorenzo Angelini is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maxime Janvier makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Maxime Janvier | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.5-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-14.1 | 9.9-6 |
| Aces | 4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 60.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 23/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Andrej Martin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 03/07 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Janvier vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 59% to Lorenzo Angelini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.