Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 26/07, 13:00
Prediction: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Stefan Latinov
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Pablo Varillas
Stefan Latinov
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Varillas
4-6 (W-L)
Stefan Latinov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Varillas 1503 · Stefan Latinov 1514
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Stefan Latinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Stefan Latinov makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Stefan Latinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13 | 10.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Pablo Varillas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/05 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/04 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Stefan Latinov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Radu Albot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Nathaniel Lammons Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/04 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Guy Orly Iradukunda Challenger Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Kigali Qual · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/12 | Obrad Markovski UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/12 | Luka Mrsic UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/12 | Marko Nikolic UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Varillas vs Stefan Latinov?
Our model gives 67% to Juan Pablo Varillas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.