Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 28/07, 11:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
3-7 (W-L)
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1543 · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1474
| Tom Gentzsch | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1543 vs 1474).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 49.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.2 | 10.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva?
Our model gives 65% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.