Tennis · ATP Washington · 26/07, 17:10
Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilagan
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcos Giron
Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
26.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron
4-6 (W-L)
Andre Ilagan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1497 · Andre Ilagan 1508
| Marcos Giron | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Marcos Giron dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 43.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Marcos Giron | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 44% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.6-15.5 | 12.3-13 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +6.4
Over 20.5: 87% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 13% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcos Giron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Aryan Shah ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Quentin Halys Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corentin Moutet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 22/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 20/06 | Charles Broom ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 13/06 | Daniel Evans ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Remy Bertola ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Connor Plunkett Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 66% to Marcos Giron, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.