Tennis · Challenger Bonn · 28/07, 11:00

Prediction: Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefano Travaglia

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Max Hans Rehberg Stefano Travaglia
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Max Hans Rehberg 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWLL
Stefano Travaglia 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Max Hans Rehberg 1560 · Stefano Travaglia 1488
Max Hans RehbergStefano Travaglia
Our model60%40%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Hans Rehberg (rating 1560 vs 1488).
  • Max Hans Rehberg is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Max Hans RehbergStefano Travaglia
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91-1.2
Games (G-P)13.3-10.611.3-12
Aces45.9
Double faults1.91.9
1st serve %75%72.3%
Break %43.9%36.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Max Hans Rehberg

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/07 Marc-Andrea Huesler
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
24/07 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
22/07 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Alexander Donski
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
13/07 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
08/07 Jan Choinski
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
06/07 Moise Kouame
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
28/06 Dylan Dietrich
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/06 Olle Wallin
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
26/06 Samuele Pieri
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-1 14-9 W

Stefano Travaglia

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
15/07 Mariano Navone
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Martin Krumich
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
24/06 Yi Zhou
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
22/06 Luka Mikrut
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 14-11 W
17/06 Roberto Carballes Baena
Challenger Parma · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
16/06 Petr Bar Biryukov
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
02/06 Pierluigi Basile
Challenger Perugia · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
30/05 Jacopo Vasami
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Max Hans Rehberg vs Stefano Travaglia?

Our model gives 55% to Max Hans Rehberg, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.