Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 26/07, 14:30
Prediction: Federico Zeballos vs Francesco Forti
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Zeballos
Francesco Forti
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Zeballos
2-8 (W-L)
Francesco Forti
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Zeballos 1450 · Francesco Forti 1516
| Federico Zeballos | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesco Forti (rating 1450 vs 1516).
- Francesco Forti is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Federico Zeballos | Francesco Forti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-11.5 | 13.2-12.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 23.1% | 31.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Zeballos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Andres Urrea Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/03 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Morelia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Cannon Kingsley Challenger Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/01 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Itajai · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/11 | Johannes Ingildsen Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Francesco Forti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Pietro Pampanin Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/06 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Luca Castagnola Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Zeballos vs Francesco Forti?
Our model gives 74% to Francesco Forti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.