Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 26/07, 13:30
Prediction: Manuel Mazza vs Niels Visker
Prediction summary
Winner
Manuel Mazza
Niels Visker
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Manuel Mazza
6-4 (W-L)
Niels Visker
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manuel Mazza 1442 · Niels Visker 1509
| Manuel Mazza | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels Visker (rating 1442 vs 1509).
Statistics
| Manuel Mazza | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.7 | 10.4-11 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manuel Mazza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Marcello Serafini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Andrea Zanini M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/05 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 17/05 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/05 | Gabriele Piraino M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Vesa Ahti Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Dan Added Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manuel Mazza vs Niels Visker?
Our model gives 59% to Niels Visker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.