Tennis · ATP Washington · 26/07, 16:00
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Abedallah Shelbayh
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
6-4 (W-L)
Abedallah Shelbayh
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1542 · Abedallah Shelbayh 1498
| Martin Damm | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Damm (rating 1542 vs 1498).
- Martin Damm dominates on serve: 11.2 aces and 51.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-11.6 | 10-10.4 |
| Aces | 11.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 78.3% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 29.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Kimmer Coppejans ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Marco Trungelliti Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 27-25 | W |
| 16/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Jaume Munar ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Juan Pablo Ficovich ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Max Houkes ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Billy Harris ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Marc Polmans ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Max Lorincik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh?
Our model gives 66% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.