Tennis · Challenger San Marino · 28/07, 15:00
Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Martinez
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Martinez
6-4 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Martinez
1–2
Hugo Dellien
(3 last)
- 04 Aug0-2 10-14L
- 17 Feb2-1 16-13W
- 26 Feb0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1507 · Hugo Dellien 1571
| Pedro Martinez | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1507 vs 1571).
- Hugo Dellien is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Pedro Martinez 1–2 Hugo Dellien (3).
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.5 | 14-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Pedro Martinez 1 – 2 Hugo Dellien (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Martinez 1–2 Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/23 Challenger Luedenscheid | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/02/20 ATP Rio De Janeiro | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/02/19 ATP Sao Paulo | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/07 | David Jorda Sanchis ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Michele Ribecai ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Matyas Fuele Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 56% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.