Tennis · UTR Pro Auburn Women · 29/07, 19:30
Prediction: Natalie Outcalt vs Gloriana Nahum
Team pages: Natalie Outcalt · Gloriana Nahum
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalie Outcalt
Gloriana Nahum
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Natalie Outcalt
2-8 (W-L)
Gloriana Nahum
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Outcalt 1381 · Gloriana Nahum 1554
| Natalie Outcalt | Gloriana Nahum | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloriana Nahum (rating 1381 vs 1554).
- Gloriana Nahum is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Natalie Outcalt makes many double faults (9/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Outcalt | Gloriana Nahum | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 10% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-12.4 | 11.3-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Outcalt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Lily Pradkin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Sophia Webster UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Campbell Ricci UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/01 | Yael Saffar UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/01 | Gabriella Lindgren UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/12 | Ameia Sorey UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Claire An UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Gloriana Nahum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Kesmat El Tawil UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Claire An UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/07 | Kira Matushkina UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Letizia Corsini UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Kenna Erickson UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Misa Malkin W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Natalie Kha W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Kate Mansfield W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Krisha Mahendran W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Outcalt vs Gloriana Nahum?
Our model gives 83% to Gloriana Nahum, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.