Tennis · ATP Washington · 25/07, 20:30
Prediction: Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymer
Prediction summary
Winner
Trevor Svajda
Elias Ymer
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Trevor Svajda
7-3 (W-L)
Elias Ymer
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trevor Svajda 1533 · Elias Ymer 1514
| Trevor Svajda | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Trevor Svajda | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.9 | 10.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 47% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 53% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Jie Cui Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Elias Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Niels Visker ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Mac Visser ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trevor Svajda vs Elias Ymer?
Our model gives 56% to Elias Ymer, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.