Tennis · ATP Washington · 25/07, 21:00
Prediction: Christopher O'Connell vs Andres Martin
Prediction summary
Winner
Christopher O'Connell
Andres Martin
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Christopher O'Connell
6-4 (W-L)
Andres Martin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christopher O'Connell 1568 · Andres Martin 1503
| Christopher O'Connell | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christopher O'Connell (rating 1568 vs 1503).
Statistics
| Christopher O'Connell | Andres Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.8 | 13.7-13 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.7% | 68% |
| Break % | 32.9% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +4.8
Over 20.5: 80% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 20% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christopher O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/06 | Elias Ymer Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christopher O'Connell vs Andres Martin?
Our model gives 70% to Christopher O'Connell, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.