Tennis · ATP Washington · 25/07, 16:00
Prediction: Martin Damm vs Kimmer Coppejans
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Damm
Kimmer Coppejans
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Damm
6-4 (W-L)
Kimmer Coppejans
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Damm 1525 · Kimmer Coppejans 1553
| Martin Damm | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Martin Damm dominates on serve: 12.1 aces and 48.5% break avg.
- Note: Martin Damm makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Martin Damm | Kimmer Coppejans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-13 | 11.1-8.2 |
| Aces | 12.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.2% | 72% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.3
Over 21.5: 66% · 1.72
Under 21.5: 34% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Damm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Marco Trungelliti Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 27-25 | W |
| 16/06 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Jaume Munar ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Juan Pablo Ficovich ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Max Houkes ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Kimmer Coppejans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Damm vs Kimmer Coppejans?
Our model gives 62% to Martin Damm, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.