Tennis · ATP Washington · 25/07, 16:00
Prediction: James McCabe vs Alex Bolt
Prediction summary
Winner
James McCabe
Alex Bolt
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
James McCabe
3-7 (W-L)
Alex Bolt
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
James McCabe
1–1
Alex Bolt
(2 last)
- 14 Apr0-2 11-14L
- 03 Nov2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James McCabe 1465 · Alex Bolt 1458
| James McCabe | Alex Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| James McCabe | Alex Bolt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 43% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.2 | 11.9-13.7 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 29% | 25.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.90
H2H · James McCabe 1 – 1 Alex Bolt (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · James McCabe 1–1 Alex Bolt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Challenger Busan | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/11/22 Challenger Sydney | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James McCabe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Rhys Lawlor Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Sander Jong ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Alex Bolt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 13/06 | Jamie Mackenzie ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Arthur Fery Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Lukas Neumayer French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/05 | Adam Walton Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/05 | Keegan Smith Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James McCabe vs Alex Bolt?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Bolt, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.