Tennis · ATP Washington · 25/07, 17:30
Prediction: Andre Ilagan vs Remy Bertola
Prediction summary
Winner
Andre Ilagan
Remy Bertola
Estimated games
25.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Ilagan
4-6 (W-L)
Remy Bertola
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andre Ilagan 1509 · Remy Bertola 1531
| Andre Ilagan | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Andre Ilagan | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (4) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.5 | 12.1-13.1 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 29.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.7
Over 22.5: 68% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 32% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Connor Plunkett Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Remy Bertola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Liam Draxl Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Yibing Wu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andre Ilagan vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 59% to Remy Bertola, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.