Tennis · ATP Washington · 25/07, 19:00
Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Aryan Shah
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcos Giron
Aryan Shah
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron
4-6 (W-L)
Aryan Shah
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1480 · Aryan Shah 1440
| Marcos Giron | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcos Giron (rating 1480 vs 1440).
Statistics
| Marcos Giron | Aryan Shah | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.6 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 16-16.5 | 9.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 65% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcos Giron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Quentin Halys Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corentin Moutet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-19 | W |
| 22/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 20/06 | Charles Broom ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Buse ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 13/06 | Daniel Evans ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Ben Shelton ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Aryan Shah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/03 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Morelos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/02 | Ben Jones Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/01 | Luca Pow M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 06/01 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Digvijay Pratap Singh ITF M15 Gwalior |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/12 | Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam ITF M15 Gwalior |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Aryan Shah?
Our model gives 77% to Marcos Giron, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.