Tennis · ATP Washington · 25/07, 17:30
Prediction: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov
Prediction summary
Winner
Zachary Svajda
Stefan Kozlov
Estimated games
26.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zachary Svajda
4-6 (W-L)
Stefan Kozlov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zachary Svajda
2–0
Stefan Kozlov
(2 last)
- 08 Feb2-0 12-3W
- 06 Feb2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zachary Svajda 1498 · Stefan Kozlov 1506
| Zachary Svajda | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Zachary Svajda dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Zachary Svajda 2–0 Stefan Kozlov (2).
Statistics
| Zachary Svajda | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.6 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 15-15 | 12.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +5.8
Over 20.5: 85% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 15% · 1.80
H2H · Zachary Svajda 2 – 0 Stefan Kozlov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zachary Svajda 2–0 Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/25 ATP Delray Beach | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/02/23 ATP Dallas | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zachary Svajda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 30/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Tommy Paul ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Liam Broady ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 30/05 | Francisco Cerundolo French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-22 | W |
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Mario Mansilla Diez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov?
Our model gives 67% to Zachary Svajda, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.