Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 24/07, 17:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Jose Pereira
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
6-4 (W-L)
Jose Pereira
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
1–0
Jose Pereira
(1 last)
- 06 May2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1516 · Jose Pereira 1494
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Jose Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1–0 Jose Pereira (1).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Jose Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.1 | 12.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 35.5% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1 – 0 Jose Pereira (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1–0 Jose Pereira
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Challenger Santos | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Fermin Tenti M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Jose Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Murkel Dellien M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Campinas · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 06/04 | Natan Rodrigues Challenger Campinas · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/04 | Wilson Leite Challenger Campinas · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/03 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/03 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Joao Goncalves Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereira?
Our model gives 65% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.