Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 24/07, 17:00

Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Lucas Andrade da Silva

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Juan Estevez Lucas Andrade da Silva
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLLW
Lucas Andrade da Silva 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1581 · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1559
Juan EstevezLucas Andrade da Silva
Our model53%47%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Lucas Andrade da Silva dominates on serve: 7 aces and 44.8% break avg.
  • Note: Lucas Andrade da Silva makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Juan EstevezLucas Andrade da Silva
Win %80%80%
Win % · Clay 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.71.7-0.7
Games (G-P)12-8.312.7-10
Aces1.17
Double faults1.64.5
1st serve %62.4%76.5%
Break %55.8%44.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Estevez

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 15-11 W
22/07 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 16-10 W
17/07 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Villa Constitucion
1-2 10-15 L
15/07 Felipe Pagnacco
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Segundo Goity Zapico
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-1 14-10 W
12/07 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 5-12 L
11/07 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 13-10 W
10/07 Felipe De Dios
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-0 W
09/07 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 11-5 W
07/07 Valentin Basel
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-5 W

Lucas Andrade da Silva

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Mateus Alves
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 18-14 W
21/07 Benjamin Torrealba
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 16-11 W
10/07 Matias Soto
Challenger Bogota · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
08/07 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 17-16 W
07/07 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
06/07 Federico Zeballos
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Segundo Goity Zapico
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Federico Zeballos
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/06 Jorge Ruiz
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Lucas Andrade da Silva?

Our model gives 51% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.