Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 24/07, 15:30
Prediction: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
5-5 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1511 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1608
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1511 vs 1608).
- Carlos Maria Zarate is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Carlos Maria Zarate makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.5 | 13-8.8 |
| Aces | 5 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 75% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Breno Braga M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Felipe Garla M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Salvador Price M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Francisco Fontes Damorim M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Maximo Zeitune M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Bastian Malla M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Mateo Del Pino M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Lora M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 60% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.