Tennis · M15 Rognac · 24/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lucas Marionneau vs Hugo Car
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Marionneau
Hugo Car
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Marionneau
7-3 (W-L)
Hugo Car
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Marionneau 1557 · Hugo Car 1524
| Lucas Marionneau | Hugo Car | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucas Marionneau | Hugo Car | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.1 | 11.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 77.9% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Marionneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Tiago Silva M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zac Hamill M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Will Mayew M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Hugo Car
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Loann Massard M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Dan Added M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Andrea M'chich M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Noah Malige M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucas Mommessin M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Marionneau vs Hugo Car?
Our model gives 56% to Lucas Marionneau, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.