Tennis · M15 Rognac · 23/07, 18:00
Prediction: Mathys Picard vs Loan Lestir
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Picard
Loan Lestir
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Picard
6-4 (W-L)
Loan Lestir
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Picard 1535 · Loan Lestir 1535
| Mathys Picard | Loan Lestir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathys Picard makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mathys Picard | Loan Lestir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.5 | 10.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Picard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Max Benaim M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 14-18 | W |
| 16/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Laurin Aerne M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Laurin Aerne M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Robinson Le Meur M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 28/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Isaac Becroft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Loan Lestir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Niels Villard M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Reid Jarvis M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Keshav Chopra M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 28/05 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Tiago Pires M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Henry Dornbusch M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Picard vs Loan Lestir?
Our model gives 56% to Mathys Picard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.