Tennis · M15 Rognac · 24/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Clement Lemire
Prediction summary
Winner
Lui Maxted
Clement Lemire
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted
5-5 (W-L)
Clement Lemire
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1534 · Clement Lemire 1588
| Lui Maxted | Clement Lemire | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clement Lemire (rating 1534 vs 1588).
- Note: Lui Maxted makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Lui Maxted | Clement Lemire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.5 | 11.7-7.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Louis Larue M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Nikola Djukic Valera M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/03 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Clement Lemire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Conor Gannon M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrea Colombo M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Tomas Lagarde M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Antoine Walch M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Robin Catry M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Zach Stephens M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/06 | James Furlong M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sven Corbinais M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Pietro Mugelli M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Clement Lemire?
Our model gives 59% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.