Tennis · M15 Segrate · 24/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolas Parizzia vs Adrian Andreev
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Parizzia
Adrian Andreev
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Parizzia
3-7 (W-L)
Adrian Andreev
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Parizzia 1452 · Adrian Andreev 1569
| Nicolas Parizzia | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Andreev (rating 1452 vs 1569).
- Adrian Andreev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Parizzia | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.4 | 13.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 69% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Parizzia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Luca Parenti M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 16/07 | Tomas Lanik M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Adrian Andreev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Mathys Domenc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Alexandr Binda M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Damien Clerc M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/01 | Sean Cuenin M25 Marrakech |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/01 | Silvio Mencaglia M25 Marrakech |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 31/12 | Yassine Smiej M25 Marrakech |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/12 | Denis Klok ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 25/12 | Ali Missoum ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/12 | Nicolas Garcia Longo ITF M15 Agadir · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/11 | Lilian Marmousez Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Parizzia vs Adrian Andreev?
Our model gives 72% to Adrian Andreev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.