Tennis · M15 Segrate · 24/07, 10:00

Prediction: Gabriele Bosio vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Gabriele Bosio Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Bosio 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLLW
Yanis Ghazouani Durand 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Bosio 1508 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1587
Gabriele BosioYanis Ghazouani Durand
Our model39%61%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1508 vs 1587).
  • Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Gabriele BosioYanis Ghazouani Durand
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.6-0.8
Games (G-P)10.8-9.711.8-9.6
Aces0.52.4
Double faults1.75.5
1st serve %64.1%67%
Break %57.2%52.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Bosio

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Luca Parenti
M15 Segrate
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 William Mirarchi
M15 Segrate
2-1 16-12 W
18/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 8-13 L
17/07 Tomas Lanik
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 13-7 W
16/07 Maximilian Figl
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Matic Dimic
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
01/07 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
15/06 Simone Massellani
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
07/06 Gianmarco Ferrari
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 5-13 L

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Peter Buldorini
M15 Segrate
2-1 12-12 W
21/07 Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Segrate
2-1 18-14 W
17/07 Geoffrey Blancaneaux
M25 Uriage
0-2 3-12 L
16/07 Arthur Bellegy
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Pablo Pradat
M25 Uriage
2-1 14-10 W
12/07 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 4-12 L
11/07 Alexander Weis
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-5 W
10/07 Denis Constantin Spiridon
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Axel Garcian
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Tanguy Genier
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-1 19-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Bosio vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?

Our model gives 59% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.