Tennis · M15 Segrate · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Bosio vs Luca Parenti
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Bosio
Luca Parenti
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Bosio
4-6 (W-L)
Luca Parenti
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Bosio 1483 · Luca Parenti 1508
| Gabriele Bosio | Luca Parenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gabriele Bosio | Luca Parenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.9 | 10.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Bosio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Tomas Lanik M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Matic Dimic M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Sergio Planella Hernandez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Simone Massellani M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Adam Majchrzak M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Luca Parenti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Pietro Marino M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 10/05 | Filippo Busciola M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/03 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/03 | Stefan Seifert M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Bosio vs Luca Parenti?
Our model gives 62% to Gabriele Bosio, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.