Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 23/07, 16:30

Prediction: Jose Pereira vs Murkel Dellien

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Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Jose Pereira Murkel Dellien
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jose Pereira 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLWW
Murkel Dellien 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jose Pereira 1496 · Murkel Dellien 1513
Jose PereiraMurkel Dellien
Our model48%52%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jose PereiraMurkel Dellien
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.3-1
Games (G-P)12.4-11.310.6-9.9
Aces1.71.3
Double faults1.53.5
1st serve %67.1%64.8%
Break %45.7%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jose Pereira

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira
M25 Sao Paulo
2-1 16-14 W
20/05 Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
06/05 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
07/04 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Campinas · Clay
1-2 14-15 L
06/04 Natan Rodrigues
Challenger Campinas · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/04 Wilson Leite
Challenger Campinas · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/03 Nicolas Zanellato
Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
24/03 Tomas Barrios Vera
Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/03 Joao Goncalves
Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
22/03 Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira
Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Murkel Dellien

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Victor Bini
M25 Sao Paulo
2-0 12-5 W
17/07 Thiago Cigarran
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 8-12 L
16/07 Enzo Lima
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Tomas Martinez
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-1 15-14 W
13/05 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
12/05 Santiago De La Fuente
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
08/05 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
06/05 Bruno Fernandez
Challenger Santos · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
02/05 Carlos Maria Zarate
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
1-2 10-14 L
01/05 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jose Pereira vs Murkel Dellien?

Our model gives 66% to Murkel Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.