Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 23/07, 16:30
Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Nicolas Zanellato
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Nicolas Zanellato
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolas Zanellato
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
1–0
Nicolas Zanellato
(1 last)
- 04 May2-1 18-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1503 · Nicolas Zanellato 1522
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Nicolas Zanellato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1–0 Nicolas Zanellato (1).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Nicolas Zanellato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.9 | 10.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 61% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1 – 0 Nicolas Zanellato (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1–0 Nicolas Zanellato
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/25 Challenger Santos | 2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Fermin Tenti M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Nicolas Zanellato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Gabriel Schenekenberg Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Pedro Rodrigues M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Nicolas Zanellato?
Our model gives 62% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.