Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 23/07, 16:30
Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
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Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Estevez
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez
6-4 (W-L)
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Estevez
2–0
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
(2 last)
- 27 Nov2-0 12-4W
- 22 Aug2-1 19-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1559 · Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas 1474
| Juan Estevez | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Estevez (rating 1559 vs 1474).
- Juan Estevez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Juan Estevez 2–0 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas (2).
Statistics
| Juan Estevez | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.4 | 11.3-12 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.3% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Juan Estevez 2 – 0 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Estevez 2–0 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/24 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08/23 ITF M15 Sao Paulo | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Estevez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Felipe Pagnacco M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Felipe De Dios M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Valentin Basel M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Conner Huertas Del Pino M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Luis Jose Nakamine M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Natan Rodrigues Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Pedro Rodrigues M15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas?
Our model gives 72% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.