Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 23/07, 23:30
Prediction: Bastian Malla vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Bastian Malla
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Bastian Malla
7-3 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bastian Malla
0–1
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
(1 last)
- 22 Feb0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bastian Malla 1547 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1575
| Bastian Malla | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Bastian Malla 0–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (1).
Statistics
| Bastian Malla | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-6.9 | 12.7-7.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Bastian Malla 0 – 1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bastian Malla 0–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/25 ATP Santiago | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bastian Malla
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Kaue Noatto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Martin A Vergara Del Puerto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 23/04 | Joao Goncalves M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Gavin Goode M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/04 | Lachlan Gaskell M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Brandon Perez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Andres Urrea Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bastian Malla vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 67% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.