Prediction: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Pedro Rodenas
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Arce Fernandez
Pedro Rodenas
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Arce Fernandez
2-8 (W-L)
Pedro Rodenas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Arce Fernandez 1457 · Pedro Rodenas 1504
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Rodenas (rating 1457 vs 1504).
Statistics
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.9 | 11.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Arce Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Denia |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 20/04 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Pedro Rodenas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Julien Dando M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ludovico Vaccari M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 22/04 | Joao Goncalves M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Arce Fernandez vs Pedro Rodenas?
Our model gives 70% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.