Prediction: Hernan Casanova vs Ludvig Fredrik Hede
Prediction summary
Winner
Hernan Casanova
Ludvig Fredrik Hede
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Hernan Casanova
8-2 (W-L)
Ludvig Fredrik Hede
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1551 · Ludvig Fredrik Hede 1540
| Hernan Casanova | Ludvig Fredrik Hede | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hernan Casanova | Ludvig Fredrik Hede | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.6 | 11.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Ludvig Fredrik Hede
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Herman Hoeyeraal M25 Denia |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Chetanna Amadike M25 Denia |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 15/07 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Thomas Miranda M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/05 | Joshua Peck M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 03/05 | Joseph Newman-Billington M25 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | William Nolan M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Alex Michael M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/04 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hernan Casanova vs Ludvig Fredrik Hede?
Our model gives 71% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.