Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariano Navone
Quentin Halys
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mariano Navone
7-3 (W-L)
Quentin Halys
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mariano Navone
1–0
Quentin Halys
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariano Navone 1523 · Quentin Halys 1544
| Mariano Navone | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mariano Navone 1–0 Quentin Halys (1).
Statistics
| Mariano Navone | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-11.6 | 13-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 9.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 79.9% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Mariano Navone 1 – 0 Quentin Halys (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mariano Navone 1–0 Quentin Halys
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/25 Challenger Aix en Provence | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariano Navone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 21/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-22 | L |
| 25/05 | Jenson Brooksby French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/05 | Learner Tien ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Quentin Halys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Laslo Djere ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Alexander Bublik ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Cina ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Matteo Arnaldi Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Toby Samuel ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halys?
Our model gives 59% to Mariano Navone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.